Track Record — Catching Bankruptcies Early
How BRAINKRUPTCY's AI model scored US-listed companies that later filed for bankruptcy — in the months before the event. Based on the model's historical estimates since 2006 and publicly documented bankruptcy filings.
| Lead time before filing | Bankruptcies with data | Flagged high-risk | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12m before | 466 | 383 | 82.2% |
| 6m before | 475 | 433 | 91.2% |
| 3m before | 476 | 440 | 92.4% |
| 1m before | 478 | 452 | 94.6% |
| Company | Filed | 12 mo | 6 mo | 3 mo | 1 mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleep Number | 2026-06-12 | 78% | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Trinseo | 2026-05-26 | 93% | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| QVC Group | 2026-04-16 | 96% | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Luminar | 2025-12-15 | 89% | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| iRobot | 2025-12-14 | 68% | 91% | 91% | 96% |
| 23andMe | 2025-03-23 | 83% | 85% | 92% | 92% |
| Nikola | 2025-02-19 | 68% | 78% | 94% | 94% |
| Canoo | 2025-01-17 | 66% | 89% | 90% | 95% |
| Spirit Airlines | 2024-11-18 | 85% | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Tupperware Brands | 2024-09-17 | 95% | 93% | 86% | 94% |
| Big Lots | 2024-09-09 | 97% | 97% | 98% | 97% |
| SunPower | 2024-08-05 | 76% | 91% | 94% | 92% |
| Conn's | 2024-07-23 | 96% | 97% | 93% | 97% |
| Express | 2024-04-22 | 96% | 91% | 95% | 97% |
| JOANN | 2024-03-18 | 98% | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Enviva | 2024-03-12 | 64% | 89% | 98% | 98% |
| Audacy | 2024-01-07 | 96% | 92% | 91% | 91% |
| WeWork | 2023-11-06 | 80% | 87% | 89% | 89% |
| Rite Aid | 2023-10-15 | 97% | 97% | 98% | 97% |
| Yellow Corp | 2023-08-06 | 78% | 97% | 96% | 97% |
| Lordstown Motors | 2023-06-27 | 90% | 72% | 86% | 77% |
| Bed Bath & Beyond | 2023-04-23 | 68% | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| SVB Financial (Silicon Valley Bank) | 2023-03-17 | 7% | 10% | 30% | 18% |
| Party City | 2023-01-17 | 79% | 98% | 98% | 98% |
| Core Scientific | 2022-12-21 | – | 92% | 93% | 97% |
| Revlon | 2022-06-15 | 75% | 84% | 85% | 96% |
| Cumulus Media | 2017-11-29 | 95% | 96% | 96% | 95% |
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